Oil turns positive as Middle East supply disruptions persist

London, March 18, 2026 – Brent crude prices turned positive as supply disruptions — from Gulf producer outages to fresh attacks on ‌regional energy infrastructure — outweighed pressure from Iraq’s resumption of pipeline exports to Turkey’s Ceyhan port.

With no signs of de-escalation in the Iran conflict, benchmark Brent futures prices have settled above $100 per barrel for the past four sessions.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude , ​in contrast, dropped $1.28, or 1.3%, to $94.93.

Saxo bank analyst Ole Hansen said the divergence in the ⁠price directions of the two contracts “increasingly reflects WTI’s credentials as a mostly U.S.-focused contract while the global disruption ​is increasingly shown through Brent, its seaborne cousin.”

IRAQI EXPORTS RESUME VIA PIPELINE

In Iraq, North Oil Company sources said exports had ​resumed via pipeline after Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government agreed on Tuesday to restart flows.

Two oil officials said last week Iraq was seeking to pump at least 100,000 bpd through the port.

“Despite this development, supply relief remains limited, with Iraq’s production at roughly ​one-third of pre-crisis levels and tanker traffic through (the Strait of) Hormuz still largely restricted,” MUFG analyst Soojin Kim said.

Oil ​production from Iraq’s main southern oilfields, where most of its crude is produced and exported, had plunged by 70% to just 1.3 ‌million ⁠bpd, sources said on March 8, as the Iran conflict effectively shut the vital Strait of Hormuz through which some 20% of global oil passes.

Meanwhile, semi-official Tasnim news agency said on Wednesday some facilities belonging to Iran’s oil industry in South Pars and Asaluyeh were attacked on Wednesday, adding that the extent of damage was not yet clear.

SHARARA OILFIELD FLOWS ​BEING REDIRECTED

The U.S. military said ​on Tuesday it had targeted ⁠sites along Iran’s coastline near the Strait of Hormuz because Iranian anti-ship missiles posed a risk to international shipping there.

Iran confirmed Tuesday that its security chief Ali Larijani had ​been killed in an Israeli attack.

Larijani’s death and the U.S. military’s strikes on Iranian coastal ​positions near the ⁠strait raised some hopes the conflict could end sooner, said Mingyu Gao, chief researcher for energy and chemicals at China Futures.

Meanwhile, Libya’s National Oil Corporation said early on Wednesday that flows from the Sharara oilfield were being gradually redirected through alternative ⁠pipelines after ​a fire broke out.

U.S. crude stocks rose by 6.56 million barrels in ​the week ended March 13, market sources said, citing API figures on Tuesday, well above a rise of about 380,000 barrels seen in a ​Reuters poll.

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