Oil rises on intensifying US-Iran hostilities, threat of Red Sea closure

New Delhi, July 17, 2026  – Oil prices inched up on Friday after the U.S. and Iran stepped up attacks across the Gulf, with their broken truce limiting oil flows ​out of the Strait of Hormuz and with Tehran asking  the Houthi organisation to ‌stand ready to shut the Red Sea export route.

Brent crude futures rose 7 cents, or about 0.08%, to $84.30 a barrel at 0632 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures gained 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $79.11 a barrel.

Both ​benchmark contracts have climbed nearly 12% this week, with Brent on track for a ​third consecutive weekly gain and WTI on pace for a second weekly gain.

“The ⁠potential threat of the Red Sea becoming another major supply disruption point is further complicating the ​global oil outlook,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. He noted the “dual-risk scenario” ​was keeping a geopolitical premium embedded in both benchmarks.

For the first time since a memorandum of understanding paused fighting last month, the U.S. launched two major waves of air strikes in a single day on Wednesday, mostly ​at targets near Iran’s southern coast. It kept firing on Thursday.

Meanwhile, Qatar’s defence ministry said its armed ​forces thwarted an Iranian missile attack early on Friday, while the interior ministry said a child was injured ‌by ⁠shrapnel resulting from interception operations.

“Oil security is still a critical issue,” International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol said on Thursday at a Council on Foreign Relations event in Washington.

“We should be worried, and I am worried, if the situation does not improve in the next few weeks,” he said.

In ​a statement, the U.S. Central ​Command said American forces ⁠began “a new wave of strikes against Iran for the sixth consecutive night to further degrade Iranian military capabilities” at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT), or ​9:30 p.m. in Tehran.

Tehran has countered with missiles and drones aimed at ​U.S. military ⁠bases in neighbouring states, including a barrage at a recently expanded air base in Jordan.

Adding to oil supply concerns, Iran’s leadership has told its Houthi allies to be prepared to close the Red Sea ⁠oil route ​if the U.S. strikes Iranian power infrastructure, three sources ​told Reuters.

IG analysts said technically, WTI could test the mid-$80s if it holds above key support in the mid-$70s.   (Reuters)

 

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